What is up, and up dramatically, since the recession began 33 months ago are government transfers to households (in the form of unemployment benefits, food stamps, welfare, social security) — they have ballooned 31% since the end of 2007. A record 30 cents of every dollar in personal income is now derived from some form of government support — now tell me that is not a depression-era statistic. The modern day soup line is a cheque in the mail. Maybe now we can get a better appreciation of why it is that the NBER has yet to sound the all-clear siren that the recession actually ever officially ended despite four quarters of positive GDP growth — perhaps not only because this may have merely been an unsustainable policy-induced spasm, but also because, in per capita terms, real final sales continued to contract through this alleged statistical recovery. - David Rosenberg, Chief Economist & Strategist, Gluskin Sheff & Associates [Toronto]
Thirty cents of every dollar! How will we get out of this debt and spending trap? http://chum.ly/n/2fb1fc
Wednesday, September 8, 2010
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